BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
-----------------------------------------------
Illinois St
Class: 1 Class Rank: 91 Conference: Missouri Valley Record: (17-3) Overall: (23-7) Overall Strength = 47.63
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-10-2022 Away W 41.60 74 70 1 1 214 ( 7- 21) Dayton -6.18 10.18
2 11-15-2022 Home W 45.59 71 56 1 228 ( 13- 17) St Thomas MN -2.18 17.18
3 11-20-2022 Home W 49.04 62 57 1 94 ( 11- 20) Wisconsin 1.27 3.73
4 11-25-2022 Neutral W 50.46 79 62 1 232 ( 13- 17) UC San Diego 2.69 14.31
5 11-26-2022 Neutral W 59.53 70 53 1 125 ( 19- 11) Louisiana Tech 11.75 5.25
6 11-27-2022 Away L 49.35 66 73 1 64 ( 28- 2) UNLV 1.58 -8.58
7 12-03-2022 Away L 34.93 65 75 1 126 ( 17- 17) Saint Louis -12.84 2.84
8 12-06-2022 Home W 43.47 66 51 ZZ 7 ( 0- 2) MO St Louis -4.30 19.30
9 12-11-2022 Away L 47.30 51 64 1 45 ( 19- 10) Purdue -0.47 -12.53
10 12-18-2022 Home L 33.22 49 63 1 80 ( 26- 4) WI Green Bay -14.56 0.56
11 12-30-2022 Home W * 63.17 87 76 1 53 ( 19- 9) Drake 15.40 -4.40
12 01-01-2023 Home L * 40.66 64 74 1 61 ( 21- 8) Northern Iowa -7.12 -2.88
13 01-05-2023 Away W * 50.37 67 63 1 114 ( 19- 10) Missouri St 2.59 1.41
14 01-07-2023 Away W * 43.93 59 56 1 173 ( 11- 18) S Illinois -3.85 6.85
15 01-12-2023 Away W * 35.03 60 50 1 327 ( 4- 27) Bradley -12.75 22.75
16 01-15-2023 Away W * 66.18 70 56 1 76 ( 21- 10) Belmont 18.41 -4.41
17 01-20-2023 Home W * 40.97 78 68 1 229 ( 11- 18) Indiana St -6.80 16.80
18 01-22-2023 Home W * 58.35 78 46 1 260 ( 12- 18) Evansville 10.57 21.43
19 01-27-2023 Away W * 62.87 78 46 1 276 ( 7- 22) Valparaiso 15.10 16.90
20 01-29-2023 Away W * 52.17 55 42 1 190 ( 17- 14) IL Chicago 4.40 8.60
21 02-02-2023 Home W * 51.91 84 52 1 327 ( 4- 27) Bradley 4.13 * 27.87
22 02-05-2023 Home W * 43.65 79 73 1 146 ( 14- 15) Murray St -4.12 10.12
23 02-10-2023 Home W * 38.81 73 70 1 173 ( 11- 18) S Illinois -8.97 11.97
24 02-12-2023 Home L * 36.24 66 71 1 114 ( 19- 10) Missouri St -11.53 6.53
25 02-16-2023 Away W * 57.78 72 70 1 61 ( 21- 8) Northern Iowa 10.01 -8.01
26 02-18-2023 Away L * 41.29 67 83 1 53 ( 19- 9) Drake -6.48 -9.52
27 02-23-2023 Home W * 45.05 66 55 1 190 ( 17- 14) IL Chicago -2.72 13.72
28 02-25-2023 Home W * 54.75 78 49 1 276 ( 7- 22) Valparaiso 6.98 22.02
29 03-02-2023 Away W * 48.47 73 56 1 260 ( 12- 18) Evansville 0.69 16.31
30 03-04-2023 Away W * 47.09 82 71 1 229 ( 11- 18) Indiana St -0.68 11.68
Averages 47.78 69.6 61.7
Best game: 66.18 = 14 point win over Belmont
Worst game: 33.22 = 14 point loss to WI Green Bay
Team stdev: 8.81